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  • A new study predicts that Mississippi Delta may drown for good

A new study predicts that Mississippi Delta may drown for good

Written by  TheCivilEngineer.org
Published in News on Research / Academia
  • Media
Aerial View of Subsiding Marshes in the Mississippi River Delta Aerial View of Subsiding Marshes in the Mississippi River Delta USGS
28
May

The Mississippi River is the second longest river in North America (following Missouri River) and stretches for around 1780 kilometers. In fact, for some, the Mississippi, Missouri and Ohio rivers can be considered as one system that is the 4th longest in the world after Nile, Amazon and Yangtze.

Mississippi River springs in Lake Itasca, a glacier lake in northern Minnesota, and flows into the Gulf of Mexico in Louisiana, running at a North-South direction.

The new study, recently published in Science Advances, suggests that remaining marshes of the Mississippi Delta in Louisiana are on the verge of submerging beneath the water level. According to the authors, while previous studies predict that the march area would survive even in the worst-case scenario of sea-level rise, the new evidence is far from optimistic.

In particular, the research shows that there is a critical point from which a slight change in the sea level would result in extensive flooding and submergence. “The scary thing is that the present-day rate of global sea-level rise, due to climate change, has already exceeded the initial tipping point for marsh drowning. And as things stand right now, the rate of sea-level rise will continue to accelerate and put us on track for marshes to disappear even faster in the future,” Dr. Torbjörn Törnqvist, lead author of the study and Vokes Geology Professor in the Tulane Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences in Tulane University, stated.

The total area of the wetlands in Louisiana is about 20000 square kilometers. 25% of that area is already lost over the past. The researches utilized data of sediment cores that were collected since the 1990s and evaluated the behavior of marshes in comparison to the seal-level rise over the past 8,500 years

The current model developed by scientists predicts that the submersion may occur within the next 50 years or within the next few centuries depending on the rate of the water-level rise. "...(previous) studies are mostly based on short-term records, uncertainty persists about the longer-term vulnerability of coastal marshes. We present an 8500-year-long marsh record from the Mississippi Delta, showing that at rates of RSL (Relative Sea-Level) rise exceeding 6 to 9 mm per year, marsh conversion into open water occurs in about 50 years," the study mentions.

So, what can be done to prevent or at least decelerate this disaster? According to Prof. Törnqvist, it is obvious that the attempts to reduce humanity's carbon footprint and halt climate change should be intensified. This would mitigate the polar ice melting and prevent sea-level rise. Apart from that, another solution would be to divert the course of the river so that some parts of the marshes would survive more. In both cases, it is certain that time is running out.

Source: Tulane University

 

Media

Effects of Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Wetlands in the Mississippi Delta USGS
More in this category: « Researchers produce high strength steel with increased fracture resistance and ductility New research on more efficient bridges »
Read 758 times Last modified on Thursday, 28 May 2020 14:09
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Tagged under
  • United States
  • Louisiana
  • Mississippi
  • Delta
  • marshes
  • Gulf of Mexico
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Climate Change
  • Flooding
  • Submersion
  • River diversion
  • Carbon dioxide emissions
  • Tulane University

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